Aubstadt vs Selbitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
12%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ERB
2 - 3
AUB
20%
22%
58%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
JRE
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ELT
2 - 1
AUB
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
AMB
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
1 - 0
AUB
28%
24%
48%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Selbitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 0
ELT
22%
22%
56%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AMB
2 - 3
SEL
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ERL
2 - 0
SEL
59%
21%
21%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SEL
0 - 3
WUR
31%
23%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
FRO
6 - 0
SEL
54%
21%
25%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |