Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
11º
16º
12º
9
3º
16º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
18 | 71 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 70 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
2º
|
19 | 62 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
1º
|
21 | 60 |
5º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 59 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 53 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 52 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 50 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 46 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 41 |
11º
|
14% | |
|
|
14º
|
9 | 39 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
17º
|
7 | 37 |
13º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 35 |
14º
|
9% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 34 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 33 |
16º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 31 |
17º
|
21.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 20 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
74% | 97.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 1% |
|
Relegation
|
7.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
ANS
1 - 1
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 1
WAC
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSA
0 - 2
AUB
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 1
TAM
48%
24%
28%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ILL
3 - 1
AUB
66%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
NUR
3 - 1
AUG
48%
23%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 1
NUR
39%
24%
37%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
STU
1 - 1
NUR
57%
21%
22%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VIK
3 - 1
NUR
17%
21%
62%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NUR
1 - 2
BAY
38%
24%
37%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |