Aubstadt vs Nürnberg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
ILL
1 - 2
AUB
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AUB
2 - 1
AUG
47%
25%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
BUC
2 - 1
AUB
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 1
MEM
52%
24%
25%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
VRG
1 - 5
AUB
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Nürnberg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 1
EIC
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
TAM
2 - 0
NUR
35%
25%
41%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 1
BAY
57%
21%
22%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
NUR
1 - 3
ROS
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ILL
0 - 3
NUR
34%
24%
42%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |