Aubstadt vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
WUR
0 - 2
AUB
63%
19%
18%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AUB
0 - 3
VIK
28%
22%
50%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
AUB
1 - 4
AMB
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
AHA
2 - 1
AUB
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ANS
0 - 3
AUB
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +3 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ERL
0 - 0
AMB
27%
24%
50%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
AHA
1 - 1
ERL
37%
25%
39%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ERL
2 - 1
ANS
49%
23%
28%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEU
1 - 0
ERL
42%
24%
34%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ELT
2 - 2
ERL
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |