Aubstadt vs Erlenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2014 |
WUR
0 - 2
AUB
42%
23%
35%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AUB
3 - 0
FRO
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
WEI
2 - 1
AUB
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
AUB
3 - 0
NEU
81%
13%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
JFO
1 - 1
AUB
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Erlenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2014 |
ERL
1 - 1
ELT
39%
24%
36%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
AMB
5 - 0
ERL
59%
21%
20%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
MEM
0 - 0
ERL
29%
24%
48%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JRE
1 - 1
ERL
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ERL
0 - 0
WUR
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |