Aubstadt vs Eintracht Bamberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
7º
16º
10º
18
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
44 | 71 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
1º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 63 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 59 |
5º
|
32.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 54 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 48 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 39 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 38 |
14º
|
17% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 38 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 33 |
16º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 26 |
17º
|
47.5% | |
|
18º
|
13 | 25 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
98.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
1% | 22.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 73.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubstadt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
BUC
3 - 2
AUB
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 1
HAH
59%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
BAY
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
AUG
0 - 3
AUB
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
4 - 2
VIL
36%
26%
39%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Eintracht Bamberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
3 - 3
AUG
23%
23%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
3 - 0
EIN
70%
18%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
WAC
0 - 1
EIN
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 4
WUR
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
EIN
0 - 2
BAY
14%
19%
67%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |