Aubervilliers vs US Boulogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
70.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
14.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.7%
0-3
9.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
14º
8º
51
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 20 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
DIN
2 - 0
AUB
63%
20%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 2
VOL
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
AUB
3 - 1
BRE
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
LMR
1 - 1
AUB
21%
20%
59%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 5
LUL
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -2 |
Matches
US Boulogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
USB
2 - 1
STA
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 3
USB
34%
27%
40%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
USB
2 - 2
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2023 |
DUN
2 - 3
USB
73%
18%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
FLE
1 - 0
USB
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |