Aubervilliers vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
COM
1 - 1
AUB
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 0
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ROY
3 - 1
AUB
28%
26%
46%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 1
VIL
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
LIL
0 - 1
AUB
37%
25%
38%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
AAC
3 - 0
LEN
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 4
IVR
46%
26%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
AMN
1 - 3
LEN
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
LEN
1 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
28%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |