Aubervilliers vs Linas-Montlhery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
29.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
1º
42
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
VTR
2 - 1
AUB
35%
22%
43%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
AUB
1 - 0
LMR
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LUL
1 - 1
AUB
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
1 - 1
AUB
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 3
PSG
60%
22%
19%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Linas-Montlhery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 1
MFC
47%
22%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
IVR
0 - 1
ESA
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 0
SAN
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ESA
0 - 2
LEN
5%
14%
81%
|
30 | 84 | 54 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
ESA
2 - 1
LMU
53%
22%
25%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |