Aubervilliers vs Dunkerque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.1%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
79.8%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
17.2%
0-4
7.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
ESW
1 - 0
AUB
38%
25%
38%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
ANC
0 - 4
AUB
11%
15%
74%
|
44 | 8 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 1
CHA
19%
24%
57%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 2
AUB
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PUC
0 - 6
AUB
12%
16%
73%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | +1 |
Matches
Dunkerque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
AJA
56%
25%
20%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BET
0 - 0
DUN
3%
8%
89%
|
72 | 9 | 63 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 1
AMI
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
LOR
4 - 2
DUN
66%
21%
14%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |