Aubervilliers vs Chambly analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
56.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
16º
16º
24
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
49% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
39.5% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 48 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 48 |
4º
|
13% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 44 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
9º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 40 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 37 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
45% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
45% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
95.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FUR
3 - 2
AUB
60%
24%
17%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
PUC
0 - 6
AUB
12%
16%
73%
|
43 | 8 | 35 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 4
BIE
39%
26%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 2
SPI
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Chambly
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
SPI
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
0 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
FCS
2 - 4
CHA
23%
25%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
CHA
18%
21%
61%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
CHA
3 - 2
BOB
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |