Aubervilliers vs Brétigny Foot analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
1º
35
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
LMR
1 - 1
AUB
21%
20%
59%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 5
LUL
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PSG
1 - 1
AUB
35%
24%
42%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AUB
0 - 2
LMU
60%
22%
18%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DRA
2 - 3
AUB
29%
25%
45%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brétigny Foot
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
BRE
2 - 1
MFC
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 0
BRE
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BRE
3 - 1
IVR
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
BRE
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
BRE
0 - 2
ESA
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -2 |