Aubervilliers vs Biesheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+53%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
16º
16º
26
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 48 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 2
SPI
21%
25%
54%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
1 - 1
AUB
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
BOB
19%
25%
56%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FEI
2 - 1
AUB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
AUB
0 - 0
FLE
17%
24%
60%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Biesheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
EFC
0 - 3
BIE
12%
16%
72%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 0
THL
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SPI
2 - 4
BIE
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BIE
0 - 1
LUS
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
FCS
0 - 1
BIE
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |