Aubervilliers vs Balagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
28.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
11º
16º
16º
26
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
32 | 60 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
1º
|
36 | 60 |
2º
|
40% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 48 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 48 |
4º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 47 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 43 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 43 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 43 |
9º
|
8.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 39 |
10º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 38 |
11º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 35 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 31 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 27 |
14º
|
40% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 20 |
15º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
7 | 19 |
16º
|
45.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
1.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
96% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
VOL
2 - 0
AUB
42%
26%
31%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
AUB
2 - 0
GRA
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
5 - 2
AUB
68%
20%
12%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
AUB
66%
21%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 1
LOR
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Balagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 2
BAL
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
BAL
4 - 1
IVR
73%
16%
11%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SAR
1 - 1
BAL
21%
21%
58%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAS
69%
17%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STG
1 - 2
BAL
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |