Aubervilliers vs Alfortville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubervilliers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
DRA
1 - 1
AUB
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
AAC
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 0
SEN
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
0 - 2
AUB
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
AUB
2 - 2
DUN
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alfortville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
ALF
50%
25%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ALF
3 - 1
AUX
25%
26%
50%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | +5 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
POI
1 - 1
ALF
70%
19%
12%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2012 |
ALF
1 - 5
PSG
29%
26%
45%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |