Aubagne vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 5
AUB
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 1
ECH
69%
17%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
BOR
57%
21%
22%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
AUB
58%
22%
20%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 1
ESP
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 2
SÈT
18%
26%
56%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
NIM
1 - 0
SPO
36%
27%
36%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SPO
5 - 5
ESP
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 1
SPO
50%
25%
25%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 4
FRE
49%
26%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |