Aubagne vs Saint-Priest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
26%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
15º
11º
26
4º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OLY
2 - 1
AUB
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
AUB
3 - 1
CSL
42%
25%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
FRE
2 - 0
AUB
48%
26%
26%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 3
SAI
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
RVA
1 - 2
AUB
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Priest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 1
LYO
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SÈT
1 - 2
SAI
58%
26%
17%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 0
JUR
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 3
SAI
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAI
5 - 1
MOA
24%
27%
49%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |