Aubagne vs Olympique Alès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
12%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+109%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
AGD
1 - 0
AUB
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 2
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 2
VAU
46%
23%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SÈT
3 - 1
AUB
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 1
NIM
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Alès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
OLY
1 - 2
SÈT
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NIM
2 - 0
OLY
12%
21%
67%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
0 - 0
ILE
80%
14%
7%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 0
OLY
18%
23%
59%
|
56 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 2
AJA
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |