Aubagne vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
77%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.5%
0-3
11.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AUB
4 - 1
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
FCM
44%
26%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LYO
1 - 1
AUB
56%
23%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
3 - 1
HYE
54%
26%
21%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CSL
3 - 2
AUB
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NÎM
2 - 1
QUE
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
CLA
0 - 3
NÎM
3%
8%
90%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SOC
0 - 1
NÎM
37%
27%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 2
NIO
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
GUI
3 - 1
NÎM
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |