Aubagne vs Nîmes II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ILE
5 - 1
AUB
23%
23%
54%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
ARL
53%
22%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 1
AUB
42%
23%
35%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
SPO
65%
19%
16%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
ESP
1 - 5
AUB
47%
23%
30%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
NIM
0 - 1
SÈT
13%
25%
62%
|
26 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NIM
0 - 0
VAU
26%
24%
50%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ILE
1 - 1
NIM
39%
24%
36%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIM
1 - 2
ARL
30%
24%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
AJA
3 - 1
NIM
59%
22%
19%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -2 |