Aubagne vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
BOR
3 - 0
AUB
28%
23%
49%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
AUB
4 - 2
MAR
56%
24%
21%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
PRO
2 - 1
AUB
34%
24%
41%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
AUB
1 - 1
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CHA
2 - 1
AUB
48%
24%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 1
42%
24%
34%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
NIC
3 - 2
VEN
37%
27%
36%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
NIC
90%
8%
2%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
NIC
1 - 2
EVI
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
GRA
1 - 0
NIC
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |