Aubagne vs Hyères analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
27%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
15º
11º
39
6º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 0
CRF
29%
26%
45%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
AUX
4 - 2
AUB
60%
23%
17%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
AUB
2 - 2
JUR
21%
22%
57%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 2
THO
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
ENT
1 - 4
AUB
11%
17%
72%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | +1 |
Matches
Hyères
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
HYE
2 - 1
OLY
38%
27%
35%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
SÈT
2 - 0
HYE
51%
26%
23%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
HYE
0 - 0
FRE
35%
29%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
SEP
1 - 1
HYE
13%
18%
70%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CRF
0 - 1
HYE
53%
26%
21%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +1 |