Aubagne vs Grasse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
54%
21%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VAU
2 - 0
AUB
44%
24%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 0
AGD
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
AUB
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
AUB
0 - 2
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Grasse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 0
ESP
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
0 - 2
AGD
38%
27%
35%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
FEU
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
VAU
0 - 1
GRA
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 2
AND
42%
27%
31%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |