Aubagne vs Sportive Fréjusienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
28.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AND
1 - 0
AUB
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
5 - 3
AUB
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
1 - 0
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 0
54%
21%
24%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sportive Fréjusienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
FRE
3 - 0
54%
22%
24%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
FRE
44%
26%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
0 - 0
AGD
42%
27%
32%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
FRE
50%
25%
25%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
FRE
2 - 0
BOR
51%
22%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |