Aubagne vs Sète analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.1%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
43%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
15º
11º
12
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
56 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 54 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
36% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
36% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
36% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
70% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 42 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 41 |
8º
|
49% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 40 |
9º
|
37.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
50.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
50.5% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 36 |
13º
|
50.5% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
50.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
49.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
SPO
1 - 1
AUB
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 1
AUB
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MGG
0 - 0
AUB
43%
28%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AUB
1 - 4
SPO
46%
27%
27%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OLY
1 - 0
AUB
38%
26%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sète
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SÈT
2 - 3
THO
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
SÈT
1 - 2
LYO
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FRE
3 - 0
SÈT
35%
28%
37%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SÈT
0 - 2
CRF
51%
27%
22%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
MGG
2 - 0
SÈT
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |