Aubagne vs Evian Thonon Gaillard II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ANN
2 - 1
AUB
72%
18%
11%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
AUB
0 - 2
BOR
58%
19%
23%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
SCR
5 - 3
AUB
41%
23%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
AIX
3 - 2
AUB
42%
23%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
AUB
2 - 5
SPO
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Evian Thonon Gaillard II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
EVI
0 - 0
AIX
57%
21%
22%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
SPO
3 - 2
EVI
63%
21%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
EVI
2 - 0
AGD
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
FAB
1 - 0
EVI
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
EVI
2 - 5
NIM
41%
26%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -2 |