Aubagne vs EF Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.4%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
ILE
2 - 2
AUB
10%
18%
72%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AUB
0 - 0
SRE
76%
14%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
AUB
18%
19%
63%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
AUB
3 - 0
GEM
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
LUC
2 - 1
AUB
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
EF Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 2
EFB
89%
9%
3%
|
17 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
EFB
0 - 1
ILE
48%
22%
31%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 1
EFB
76%
17%
7%
|
17 | 67 | 50 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
GEM
1 - 0
EFB
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
EFB
0 - 2
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |