Aubagne vs ES Pennoise analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
22.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
FEU
1 - 3
AUB
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 2
FRE
48%
24%
29%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AND
1 - 0
AUB
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 1
SPO
50%
23%
27%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
5 - 3
AUB
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
ES Pennoise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2013 |
ESP
3 - 0
56%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VAU
1 - 0
ESP
46%
24%
30%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 3
AGD
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
ESP
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
4 - 0
BOR
48%
23%
30%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |