Aubagne vs Athlético Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 2
AUB
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
FUR
1 - 2
AUB
46%
26%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 1
CAN
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
AUB
40%
26%
34%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
AUB
6 - 0
EUA
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Athlético Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
CON
4 - 2
FUR
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CAN
3 - 0
CON
12%
19%
69%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CON
2 - 0
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
EUA
0 - 3
CON
5%
12%
83%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CON
3 - 2
IST
81%
13%
6%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |