Aubagne vs Bourgoin-Jallieu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
12º
1º
21
8º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
11 | 11 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
AUB
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
AUB
3 - 1
CHA
63%
22%
16%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
AUB
28%
28%
44%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
AUB
1 - 0
OLY
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
JUR
1 - 1
AUB
46%
26%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Bourgoin-Jallieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 1
GRA
20%
26%
53%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
0 - 3
SPO
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
TOU
1 - 1
BOU
36%
28%
37%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2024 |
BOU
2 - 0
CHA
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +3 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
BOU
63%
23%
14%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |