Au Iller vs Villingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
71.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.1%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Au Iller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
HOF
6 - 0
AUI
83%
12%
5%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
AUI
0 - 0
NOR
14%
21%
66%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
4 - 2
AUI
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SGS
1 - 0
AUI
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
AUI
1 - 3
BAH
13%
20%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Villingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 0
FRE
68%
19%
14%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
BAL
2 - 1
VIL
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
SGS
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 0
OFF
88%
9%
4%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
KIR
0 - 4
VIL
20%
24%
56%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |