Au Iller vs Normannia Gmünd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
65.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Au Iller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
ILL
4 - 2
AUI
82%
13%
6%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SGS
1 - 0
AUI
80%
14%
6%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
AUI
1 - 3
BAH
13%
20%
66%
|
11 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
AST
3 - 0
AUI
82%
12%
6%
|
11 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
AUI
0 - 0
ASV
12%
19%
70%
|
10 | 26 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Normannia Gmünd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 3
FRE
38%
26%
37%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
NOR
3 - 3
ASV
47%
25%
28%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
BAL
3 - 0
NOR
48%
24%
28%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 7
SGS
48%
26%
26%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | -3 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
KIR
1 - 2
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |