Au Iller vs ASV Durlach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
69.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Au Iller
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VFR
4 - 1
AUI
84%
11%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
AUI
1 - 0
OFF
51%
23%
26%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
ASV Durlach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 3
FRE
42%
24%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARB
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 74 | 47 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BAL
4 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2006 |
ASV
2 - 3
HOF
33%
26%
41%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
STU
0 - 3
ASV
56%
23%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |