Atzeneta vs Rayo Ibense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
14º
8º
18
5º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 62 |
1º
|
44% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 60 |
2º
|
19.5% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 54 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
28 | 50 |
8º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 45 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
12º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 42 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 41 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 34 |
15º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 33 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
18 | 31 |
17º
|
23.5% | |
|
18º
|
18 | 30 |
18º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
26.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
71.5% | 30.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 69.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atzeneta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
SON
1 - 0
ATZ
25%
27%
48%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ATZ
2 - 0
CAS
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
CRE
0 - 1
ATZ
20%
25%
56%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ATZ
0 - 0
ONT
61%
23%
16%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 2
ATZ
33%
30%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Ibense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
RAY
1 - 1
JOV
22%
26%
52%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
UDC
0 - 3
RAY
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
RAY
0 - 1
NUC
11%
18%
71%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
UTI
3 - 1
RAY
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
SON
2 - 0
RAY
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |