Atzeneta vs Hércules B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
13º
2º
28
7º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 58 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 56 |
2º
|
59% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
80% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
4º
|
80% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
92.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 36 |
9º
|
44.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
34% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
37.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
13º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
55% | |
|
|
16º
|
28 | 29 |
16º
|
70% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
41% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
59% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atzeneta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATZ
29%
26%
45%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LEV
0 - 0
ATZ
45%
28%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ATZ
3 - 1
GAN
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 2
ATZ
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ATZ
1 - 1
CAS
65%
20%
15%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Hércules B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
GAN
32%
25%
43%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
PCF
1 - 0
HER
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HER
0 - 0
CAS
37%
26%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
RAY
4 - 0
HER
37%
27%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HER
0 - 1
ROD
35%
27%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |