Cup Kazakhstan Semi-finals
Global 4-1
Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
38.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
ATY
3 - 1
KAI
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KAI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ORD
1 - 0
TOB
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |