Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
4º
11º
7º
30
1º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
36 | 43 |
1º
|
43.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 42 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 41 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
1º
|
37 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 37 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 34 |
7º
|
48.5% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 29 |
8º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 26 |
10º
|
30% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 19 |
12º
|
78% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 13 |
13º
|
97.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0.5% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KAI
52%
26%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |