Atyrau vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
4º
11º
7º
39
1º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 0
AST
32%
29%
39%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
KAI
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 2
KAI
52%
26%
22%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
ATY
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 0
TOB
38%
27%
35%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |