Atyrau vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
11º
7º
9
10º
12º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
1º
|
34 | 41 |
3º
|
25.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 41 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 41 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 35 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 33 |
7º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 30 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 27 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 25 |
11º
|
41% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 21 |
12º
|
58% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 17 |
13º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
97.5% | 3% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 1
FCA
34%
27%
38%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATY
2 - 2
KAI
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
ATY
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
0 - 0
TOB
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
2 - 3
ORD
35%
28%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
KAI
33%
27%
41%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 0
ZHE
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
KYZ
2 - 0
SHA
37%
28%
36%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |