Atyrau vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
38.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
11º
6º
22
1º
3º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 46 |
1º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 42 |
2º
|
28% | |
|
|
2º
|
22 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 37 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 33 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 33 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 32 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 30 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 28 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 26 |
11º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
7 | 22 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 20 |
13º
|
53.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
1% | 20% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
13% | 51.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 28.5% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atyrau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2024 |
FKT
2 - 1
ATY
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
0 - 0
TOB
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
ATY
4 - 0
TOB
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SHA
0 - 3
ATY
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
FKZ
0 - 1
ATY
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 1
SPA
41%
25%
34%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 4
TOB
48%
26%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FCA
1 - 0
SHA
52%
24%
24%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 1
FCA
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
FKY
2 - 2
FCA
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |