ATSV Mutschelbach vs VfR Mannheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
14º
13º
43
7º
18º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PFO
3 - 1
ATS
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 1
ATS
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 1
BAL
32%
21%
48%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
ATS
4 - 4
OBE
60%
19%
22%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
FSV
2 - 4
ATS
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
VfR Mannheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
KAI
3 - 2
VFR
44%
23%
33%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 0
WEI
58%
21%
22%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
VFR
25%
22%
53%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 3
FVH
61%
20%
19%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VFR
1 - 0
GOP
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | +2 |