ATSV Mutschelbach vs Denzlingen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.1%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
6º
14º
13º
36
6º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
69 | 69 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
64 | 64 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 60 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
63% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
63% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 43 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
59% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 37 |
14º
|
37% | |
|
14º
|
37 | 37 |
15º
|
37% | |
|
16º
|
36 | 36 |
16º
|
59% | |
|
|
17º
|
36 | 36 |
17º
|
59% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATSV Mutschelbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VFR
4 - 0
ATS
23%
20%
57%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
6 - 4
PFO
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +3 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
OBE
2 - 5
ATS
47%
21%
33%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
ATS
1 - 3
FSV
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIL
4 - 4
ATS
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Denzlingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
1 - 3
GOP
17%
19%
64%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
TSB
0 - 3
DEN
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DEN
0 - 1
VIL
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
TSV
0 - 2
DEN
11%
15%
74%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 3
DEN
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |