ATSV Erlangen vs Neudrossenfeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
22%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
1º
10º
3º
13
8º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
18% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
23.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
58% | 43.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0.5% | 55% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATSV Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
0 - 2
ATS
18%
20%
62%
|
40 | 26 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
JRE
1 - 2
ATS
46%
24%
31%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
3 - 1
WUR
72%
17%
12%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ATS
2 - 0
KOR
36%
25%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 2
ATS
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Neudrossenfeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
JRE
36%
23%
42%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
WUR
3 - 2
NEU
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 1
DJK
38%
22%
40%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
KOR
2 - 1
NEU
48%
25%
28%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
NEU
1 - 0
NEU
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |