ATSV Erlangen vs 1. FC Sand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ATSV Erlangen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
DJJ
1 - 2
ATS
40%
22%
39%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ANS
1 - 3
ATS
47%
20%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ATS
1 - 6
JFO
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
ERB
3 - 1
ATS
18%
18%
64%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -3 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ATS
3 - 0
WUR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
1. FC Sand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
BAY
13%
19%
68%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 3
DJK
9%
16%
74%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
ELT
3 - 1
SAN
83%
12%
6%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ASV
21%
22%
57%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 2
SEL
12%
18%
70%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |