Atmosfera vs FC Hegelmann II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+147%
+351%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
6º
16º
7º
34
7º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atmosfera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 1
ATM
73%
18%
10%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
BEN
31%
27%
42%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEV
1 - 1
ATM
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
0 - 4
HLI
8%
15%
76%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
ATM
1 - 0
NEP
15%
20%
66%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
FC Hegelmann II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
FHL
2 - 0
FKB
33%
22%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FHL
3 - 3
FKT
14%
18%
68%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | +3 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
FHL
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 0
FHL
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FHL
1 - 0
PAN
14%
19%
68%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | +5 |