Atlético El Vigía FC vs Estudiantes de Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
23.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
DEP
0 - 0
ATL
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
MIR
0 - 0
ATL
64%
22%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MIN
4 - 0
ATL
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 2
LAR
23%
24%
54%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes de Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
EST
2 - 1
TAC
30%
27%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ZUL
1 - 0
EST
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
EST
1 - 2
LAR
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2012 |
MIN
1 - 1
EST
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CFC
2 - 1
EST
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | 0 |