Atlético El Vigía FC vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
41.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético El Vigía FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
CDS
2 - 3
ATL
38%
27%
36%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAR
39%
29%
32%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ZAM
3 - 1
ATL
65%
22%
14%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 3
EST
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ANZ
1 - 0
ATL
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
ARA
1 - 1
TAC
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2007 |
TRU
0 - 0
ARA
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
ARA
3 - 1
LAR
64%
23%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
ANZ
2 - 2
ARA
47%
23%
30%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 2
ARA
41%
28%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |