Atlético Veragüense vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Veragüense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
3 - 0
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
GEM
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ARA
4 - 1
VER
75%
18%
7%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
VER
0 - 2
TAU
18%
27%
56%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2016 |
VER
0 - 0
SMI
20%
26%
53%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
0 - 0
SMI
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 2
AFC
41%
28%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
DPB
3 - 0
NAC
9%
17%
74%
|
58 | 12 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GEM
2 - 1
NAC
34%
31%
35%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |