At. Venezuela vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
ESC
4 - 3
ATL
50%
28%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 0
EST
45%
27%
29%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MIR
0 - 2
ATL
30%
32%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
35%
29%
36%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 0
ATL
56%
27%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
URE
1 - 3
TAC
16%
24%
61%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2015 |
DEP
5 - 1
URE
71%
20%
9%
|
52 | 72 | 20 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
URE
2 - 5
ZAM
21%
26%
53%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 0
URE
74%
17%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
URE
1 - 1
TUC
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |