At. Venezuela vs Trujillanos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
POR
1 - 3
ATL
32%
26%
42%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 2
ARA
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
MET
49%
25%
26%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ANZ
1 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 2
MIN
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Trujillanos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
2 - 0
ZAM
25%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ZUL
2 - 2
TRU
57%
23%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
TRU
0 - 1
TAC
31%
26%
43%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
DEP
2 - 2
TRU
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 0
LAR
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |