At. Venezuela vs Portuguesa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22%
14.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
ZUL
1 - 1
ATL
49%
28%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
2 - 0
MIN
31%
28%
41%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
ATL
0 - 3
LAR
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 0
ATL
74%
18%
8%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
DEP
1 - 0
ATL
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 3
TAC
16%
25%
60%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
POR
69%
21%
10%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
POR
1 - 2
ZAM
20%
27%
54%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
CFC
2 - 1
POR
79%
15%
6%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
POR
4 - 0
TUC
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +2 |